Will Real Madrid win the next El Clásico (Oct 25, 2026)?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yesyour pick25.5%$0.26
- No74.5%$0.75
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Forecast reasoning
Barcelona's 6-of-7 recent dominance over Madrid and 6-point league lead entering the match are offset by Madrid's momentum (4-1 Champions League win Oct 21) and Barcelona's injury absences including Dani Olmo, though Madrid will also miss Vinícius Júnior to suspension.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if Real Madrid's official final result in the La Liga Matchday 10 El Clásico (Barcelona vs Real Madrid at Spotify Camp Nou), played strictly after 2026-10-22T07:18:48Z and concluded at or before 2026-10-26T04:00:00Z, is a victory (i.e., Real Madrid scores more goals than Barcelona in 90 minutes plus any referee-added stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts unless the competition format requires them to determine a league result). - "No": Wins if Real Madrid does not win that match — i.e., the final result is a draw or a Barcelona victory. Clarifications: - The result is determined by the official full-time score as declared by La Liga for Matchday 10 of the 2026/27 season.
Oct 25, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC