Will DeepSeek be removed from the Apple or Google app stores by end of 2026?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yesyour pick4.5%$0.05
- No95.5%$0.96
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Forecast reasoning
DeepSeek remains available on both app stores in the U.S. as of mid-October 2026 with no removal threats, though Italy removed it in January 2025 and Germany formally requested removal in June 2025, leaving 72 days for potential U.S. action by year-end.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if the DeepSeek app (any of its primary AI assistant/chatbot listings) is removed or made unavailable for new downloads from the US storefront of the Apple App Store, the Google Play Store, or both — by Apple or Google acting on their own initiative or in compliance with a governmental order — strictly after 2026-10-20T14:54:10.373Z and at or before 2027-01-01T08:00:00.000Z. - "No": Wins if no such removal occurs on the US storefronts of the Apple App Store or Google Play Store within the window above. Clarifications: - "Removed" means the app is delisted or blocked from new downloads on the US storefront; region-specific removals limited to countries other than the United States (e.g., Italy, South Korea, Germany) do not satisfy the "Yes" condition. - Any confirmed delisting during the window counts as a removal, even if the app is subsequently reinstated before the window closes. A developer-initiated voluntary withdrawal also counts as a removal.
Jan 1, 2027, 12:00 AM UTC