Will Elon Musk tweet about a battery by Oct 11, 2026?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yesyour pick62.7%$0.63
- No37.3%$0.37
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Forecast reasoning
Musk tweeted about batteries on March 7 and September 10, 2026, making another tweet in the next 11 days likely. Tesla's recent battery announcements suggest continued focus on the topic during this critical period.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if Elon Musk (@elonmusk) posts at least one post on X (x.com/elonmusk) containing the word "battery" (or a clear battery-related term, e.g., "batteries", "battery pack", "battery cell") strictly after 2026-10-01T00:37:46.549Z and at or before 2026-10-12T07:00:00.000Z. - "No": Wins if no such post is found on Elon Musk's X account (@elonmusk) within the same window. Clarifications: - The qualifying window opens strictly after 2026-10-01T00:37:46.549Z and closes at or before 2026-10-12T07:00:00.000Z (UTC). Only posts by the verified @elonmusk account on X are considered; reposts (RTs) of other accounts without added commentary by Musk do not qualify, but quote-posts with his own text do.
Oct 12, 2026, 7:00 AM UTC