Will Raphinha score 2+ goals vs Real Madrid on Oct 25, 2026 (reg. + stoppage time only)?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yes16.0%$0.16
- No84.0%$0.84
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Forecast reasoning
Raphinha leads La Liga with 12 goals in 8 appearances (1.5 per game) and scored 7 goals across his last 6 matches against Real Madrid, but the 2+ goal threshold is difficult even for in-form players in single matches, and Real Madrid allows just 0.93 expected goals per game.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if Raphinha scores 2 or more goals for FC Barcelona against Real Madrid in the LaLiga El Clásico match played at Spotify Camp Nou on October 25, 2026, with all goals scored strictly after 2026-10-24T15:02:27.399Z and at or before 2026-10-26T04:00:00.000Z, counting only goals scored during regulation time and stoppage time (i.e., excluding extra time and penalty shootouts). - "No": Wins if Raphinha scores 0 or 1 goal for FC Barcelona against Real Madrid in that same match within the same window, or if he does not appear in the match at all.
Oct 25, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC
