Will Jeremy Doku (Belgium) score ≥1 goal vs Italy on Nov 15, 2026 (reg. time + stoppage only)?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yes13.0%$0.13
- No87.0%$0.87
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Forecast reasoning
Jeremy Doku returned from injury and started Belgium's 2-1 win over Turkey on November 14, playing 80 minutes with one assist, confirming his fitness for Italy the next day. He's a world-class dribbler with pace to trouble Italian fullbacks and is expected in the starting lineup, but the 13% probability reflects that even elite wingers score in only a minority of matches and Lukaku's absence removes Belgium's primary goalscorer.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if Jeremy Doku is officially credited with at least one goal scored for Belgium against Italy during regulation time or stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalty shootout) in the UEFA Nations League A match played at King Baudouin Stadium, Brussels, with kick-off at 2026-11-15T19:45:00Z, where the goal is confirmed in the official match record strictly after 2026-11-15T09:34:38.627Z and at or before 2026-11-16T03:45:00.000Z. - "No": Wins if Jeremy Doku is not officially credited with any such goal in that same match and time window, including if he did not play, or if the match was not played or was abandoned before completion. Clarifications: - "Goal scored" means a goal credited to Jeremy Doku in the official UEFA match statistics for that fixture; own goals do not count. Only goals from regulation time and stoppage time (90 minutes plus added time at the end of each half) are considered — goals in extra time or a penalty shootout do not count.
Nov 15, 2026, 7:45 PM UTC