“Will Bastoni Alessandro (Italy) get a yellow card vs Belgium on Nov 15, 2026 (reg. + stoppage time only)?” on Delphi

Will Bastoni Alessandro (Italy) get a yellow card vs Belgium on Nov 15, 2026 (reg. + stoppage time only)?

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Delphi’s forecast

Yes21.5%$0.22
No78.5%$0.79

Forecast only. Not tradable.

We could not pin down how this would settle, so there is no market to trade. The odds stand.

Forecast reasoning

Bastoni will play after UEFA corrected a yellow card misattribution to Davide Frattesi, leaving him with one Nations League booking. FootyPulse assigns him a 20% booking probability for this match, slightly above the 22% final probability, suggesting modest disciplinary risk in a high-stakes fixture where he's listed among cautioned players.