Predict something else

Will AOC (Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez) win the 2028 US presidential election?

PoliticsForecast onlyLive data

Delphi’s forecast

  • Yesyour pick5.6%$0.06
  • No94.4%$0.94
Forecast only. Not tradable.

This resolves too far out for us to open a market on it. The odds stand. You can still create this market yourself.

Forecast reasoning

AOC has not ruled out a 2028 presidential run and is actively laying groundwork across early primary states as of November 2026, but no woman has been elected president and she has emphasized the race would be "all or nothing" for her political career. The 6% reflects her long-shot status despite recent campaign positioning and DSA organizational support.