Kimmich returned to action on November 2 after three-game absence and is expected to start in midfield on November 3, but Bayern faces multiple attacking injuries (Musiala, Gnabry, Olise, Díaz out) that may limit Bayern's offensive output and Kimmich's assist opportunities. The 21% probability reflects his midfielder role and recent emotional circumstances, balanced against historical assist rates for defensive midfielders in Champions League play.