Will Starlink launch commercially in India by Q1 2027 (Mar 31, 2027)?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yesyour pick14.5%$0.15
- No85.5%$0.86
This quote has expired. Ask again for a live price.
Forecast reasoning
Starlink has secured licenses and built 20 gateway sites in India but remains blocked by pending security clearance and spectrum allocation as of mid-October 2026, leaving 164 days to complete final approvals. Security concerns cited by India's Ministry of Home Affairs and the need for cabinet-level spectrum approval create substantial regulatory hurdles unlikely to clear before Q1 2027 closes.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if Starlink begins commercial satellite internet services in India — meaning paying members of the public can subscribe to and actively use Starlink broadband service in India — strictly after 2026-10-08T09:33:42.127Z and at or before 2027-03-31T18:30:00.000Z. - "No": Wins if no such commercial launch occurs in India within the window defined above. Clarifications: - "Commercial launch" requires that Starlink's satellite internet service is openly available for purchase and active use by the general public in India; regulatory approvals, licence grants, spectrum assignments, infrastructure buildout, pilot trials, or partnerships with distributors alone do not qualify.
Mar 31, 2027, 6:30 PM UTC