Will the Kansas City Chiefs avoid a loss against the Las Vegas Raiders on Oct 4, 2026?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yesyour pick69.8%$0.70
- No30.3%$0.30
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Forecast reasoning
The Chiefs rank 3rd in points per game (32) and 1st in yards per game (457.5) while the Raiders rank 10th in points (26.5) and 19th in yards, giving Kansas City a significant offensive advantage in this matchup. Both teams enter at 2-0 with identical turnover differentials, but the Chiefs' superior offensive efficiency and 74-55-2 all-time series lead drive the higher probability of avoiding a loss.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if the Kansas City Chiefs do not lose to the Las Vegas Raiders in the NFL game played strictly after 2026-10-01T16:31:14.835Z and at or before 2026-10-04T20:25:00.000Z — that is, the Chiefs win or the game ends in a tie (or the game is not played within the window). - "No": Wins if the Kansas City Chiefs lose to the Las Vegas Raiders in the NFL game played strictly after 2026-10-01T16:31:14.835Z and at or before 2026-10-04T20:25:00.000Z. Clarifications: - The official final score of the Chiefs vs. Raiders game (including any overtime) determines the result. A tie counts as avoiding a loss; a postponement or cancellation with no final score recorded within the window resolves as "Yes".
Oct 4, 2026, 8:25 PM UTC