Will Tokyo's high temperature top NYC's high temperature on Oct 15, 2026?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yesyour pick89.8%$0.90
- No10.3%$0.10
This quote has expired. Ask again for a live price.
Forecast reasoning
Multiple forecasts show Tokyo's high around 72-73°F versus NYC's high around 64-67°F on October 15, giving Tokyo a 8-9 degree advantage. The consensus across Weather Underground, WeatherBug, and TimeandDate favors Tokyo topping NYC by a comfortable margin.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if the observed daily high temperature recorded at a standard Tokyo reference station (e.g., Tokyo/Haneda or the Japan Meteorological Agency Tokyo observation point) for the local calendar date of October 15, 2026 is strictly greater than the observed daily high temperature recorded at a standard New York City reference station (e.g., Central Park/KNYC, JFK, or LGA) for the local calendar date of October 15, 2026, with both values expressed in the same temperature unit. - "No": Wins if the observed daily high temperature for Tokyo on the local calendar date of October 15, 2026 is less than or equal to the observed daily high temperature for New York City on the same local calendar date. Clarifications: - The measurement window covers the full local calendar day of October 15, 2026 for each city (Tokyo: 2026-10-15T00:00 JST to 2026-10-15T23:59 JST; New York City: 2026-10-15T00:00 ET to 2026-10-15T23:59 ET), which falls within the interval strictly after 2026-10-15T04:00:00Z and at or before 2026-10-16T04:00:00Z. - "Daily high temperature" means the single highest temperature reading reported for the full local calendar day at the chosen reference station, as published in official or widely recognized meteorological records for that date.
Oct 16, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC