Will Alcaraz win the 2027 French Open men's singles?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yesyour pick36.0%$0.36
- No64.0%$0.64
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Forecast reasoning
Two-time French Open champion Alcaraz missed 2026 due to wrist injury but returned to win Tokyo in October, now favored at 39% by current markets ahead of defending champion Zverev. The 36% probability reflects modest downward revision from September's 48% odds, suggesting lingering injury concerns despite his recent comeback victory.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if Carlos Alcaraz is officially declared the men's singles champion of the 2027 French Open (Roland-Garros), with the final match played and concluded strictly after 2026-10-23T17:02:48.582Z and at or before 2027-06-06T06:00:00.000Z. - "No": Wins if the 2027 French Open men's singles champion is officially declared and that champion is any player other than Carlos Alcaraz, with the final match played and concluded strictly after 2026-10-23T17:02:48.582Z and at or before 2027-06-06T06:00:00.000Z. Clarifications: - The champion is determined by the official result of the men's singles final at the 2027 French Open as published by the tournament's official sources. If Alcaraz reaches the final but the match is awarded to his opponent by walkover or retirement, the opponent is the declared champion and "No" wins. If the tournament is cancelled or no champion is declared within the settlement window, neither condition above is met.
Jun 5, 2027, 10:00 PM UTC