Will the Nikkei 225 closing price on October 23, 2026 be higher than the closing price on October 22, 2026?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yesyour pick51.0%$0.51
- No49.0%$0.49
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Forecast reasoning
The Nikkei 225 closed at 64,916.70 on October 19, falling 1.92% that day after a steep 5.37% weekly decline, but historically October 23 has shown a 50% up-day rate and Friday gains average around 0.5%, creating near-even odds for a one-day rebound by October 23.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if the official Nikkei 225 closing price on October 23, 2026 (the Tokyo Stock Exchange cash session closing at 15:30 JST / 06:30 UTC on October 23, 2026) is strictly greater than the official Nikkei 225 closing price on October 22, 2026 (the Tokyo Stock Exchange cash session closing at 15:30 JST / 06:30 UTC on October 22, 2026), with both closing prices recorded strictly after 2026-10-17T22:36:49.115Z and at or before 2026-10-23T14:30:00.000Z. - "No": Wins if the official Nikkei 225 closing price on October 23, 2026 is equal to or strictly less than the official Nikkei 225 closing price on October 22, 2026, with both closing prices recorded strictly after 2026-10-17T22:36:49.115Z and at or before 2026-10-23T14:30:00.000Z. Clarifications: - The closing price used for each session is the official end-of-day index level published by Nikkei Indexes for the Tokyo Stock Exchange cash session (15:30 JST), denominated in Japanese Yen (JPY).
Oct 23, 2026, 6:30 AM UTC