Will Yan Diomande (Real Madrid) assist in FC Barcelona vs Real Madrid on Oct 25, 2026 (reg. time + stoppage only)?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yes18.0%$0.18
- No82.0%$0.82
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Forecast reasoning
Diomande starts for Real Madrid in place of suspended Vinícius Jr. and has recorded 3 goals and 3 assists in 274 minutes since the international break, but statistical modeling gives him only an 11% assist probability for this specific match, suggesting the 18% reflects modest upside from his recent form and high-profile opponent context.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if Yan Diomande, playing for Real Madrid, registers at least one official assist during the FC Barcelona vs Real Madrid LaLiga matchday 10 match at Spotify Camp Nou, strictly after 2026-10-24T15:02:14.637Z and with the match concluding at or before 2026-10-26T04:00:00Z, counting only goals scored during regulation time and stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalty shootouts). - "No": Wins if Yan Diomande does not register any official assist under the conditions above, or if he does not appear in the match at all. Clarifications: - An "official assist" is defined as the final pass or touch credited to a player directly leading to a goal, as recorded in the official LaLiga match statistics for this fixture. - Only goals and assists recorded during the 90 minutes of regulation time plus any added stoppage time at the end of each half are counted; goals and assists in extra time or penalty shootouts do not qualify.
Oct 25, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC