Bitcoin traded at $74,416.41 at 12:00 PM PT on Nov 9, leaving $552.47 below the $74,968.88 threshold with 2.5 hours until resolution. The daily high of $75,505.82 exceeded the target, but regulatory uncertainty and ETF outflows created downward pressure throughout the day. At 57%, the odds reflect uncertainty whether Bitcoin recovers that gap in the final hours of trading.