Will it rain in Jersey, Channel Islands on Oct 21, 2026?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yes84.8%$0.85
- No15.3%$0.15
This quote has expired. Ask again for a live price.
Forecast reasoning
Official Jersey Met forecasts 85% precipitation probability for October 21 with showers expected throughout the day, supported by multiple sources predicting light rain and 7.5-9mm of rainfall. One outlier forecast shows only 2% chance, but the weight of evidence including Met Office and dedicated weather services align on precipitation occurring.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if a measurable rainfall amount greater than 0 mm is recorded at the official Jersey Met Office weather station in Jersey, Channel Islands strictly after 2026-10-20T23:00:00Z and at or before 2026-10-21T23:00:00Z. - "No": Wins if no measurable rainfall (0 mm recorded) is observed at the official Jersey Met Office weather station in Jersey, Channel Islands during the same window. Clarifications: - The measurement window runs strictly after 2026-10-20T23:00:00Z and at or before 2026-10-21T23:00:00Z (i.e., the full local calendar day of 21 October 2026 in GMT/UTC+0). Rainfall figures are taken from official Jersey Met Office daily observation records or climate data summaries for Jersey Airport / Maison St Louis Observatory.
Oct 21, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC