Will Mbappé provide at least 1 assist vs FC Barcelona on Oct 25, 2026?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yes17.3%$0.17
- No82.8%$0.83
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Forecast reasoning
Mbappé has recorded 1+ assists in only 20% of his recent games and 22% this season, with just 2 assists in 9 league appearances through October 25. His historical assist rate at home is 14% and away 9%, with no prior head-to-head data against Barcelona to suggest an outlier performance.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if Kylian Mbappé is officially credited with at least 1 assist in the Real Madrid vs FC Barcelona LaLiga match played on 2026-10-25, with the match taking place strictly after 2026-10-25T14:25:36.056Z and concluding at or before 2026-10-26T04:00:00.000Z (including any extra time, but excluding sequences where no assist is officially counted). - "No": Wins if Mbappé is officially credited with 0 assists in the same match, or if Mbappé does not appear in the match (e.g., absent, suspended, did not play), provided the match takes place strictly after 2026-10-25T14:25:36.056Z and concludes at or before 2026-10-26T04:00:00.000Z. Clarifications: - An "assist" is defined as officially recorded in the LaLiga match statistics for the Real Madrid vs FC Barcelona fixture on 2026-10-25, covering the full 90 minutes plus any added time; own-goal sequences where no assist is awarded do not count toward Mbappé's assist tally. - If the match is postponed and does not conclude by 2026-10-26T04:00:00.000Z, the market is unresolvable under these criteria.
Oct 25, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC