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Will a hurricane hit Sri Lanka in December 2026?

WeatherForecast onlyLive data

Delphi’s forecast

  • Yes5.5%$0.06
  • No94.5%$0.95
Forecast only. Not tradable.

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Forecast reasoning

December marks the tail end of Sri Lanka's cyclone season with peak activity in November; no active storms threaten the island as of early November 2026, and December typically sees cyclone formation rates well below the October-November peak. A strong El Niño could elevate Bay of Bengal activity, but historical December landfalls on Sri Lanka remain rare despite one notable 2000 case.