Will Cristiano Ronaldo retire from international football before Dec 31, 2026?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yes6.8%$0.07
- No93.3%$0.93
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Forecast reasoning
Ronaldo explicitly stated on October 6-7, 2026 that he is not retiring from international football and will be available after his suspension ends. The Portuguese Football Federation confirmed on October 20 that they expect him to return in November, leaving only 72 days until the December 31 deadline.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if Cristiano Ronaldo publicly announces his retirement from international football — via an official personal statement, an official statement from the Portuguese Football Federation (FPF), or a formal declaration to a credible news outlet — strictly after 2026-10-14T10:59:45.384Z and at or before 2026-12-30T20:00:00.000Z. - "No": Wins if no such retirement announcement is made strictly after 2026-10-14T10:59:45.384Z and at or before 2026-12-30T20:00:00.000Z. Clarifications: - A retirement announcement requires an unambiguous, explicit declaration that Ronaldo is ending his international career with Portugal; speculation, reports of a temporary absence from a squad, or leaving a training camp without a formal statement do not qualify.
Dec 30, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC