Will Raphinha receive a yellow card vs Real Madrid on Oct 25, 2026 (reg. + stoppage time only)?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yes23.8%$0.24
- No76.3%$0.76
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Forecast reasoning
Raphinha is confirmed to start for Barcelona in strong goalscoring form with 12 league goals this season, but yellow card risk in El Clásico is modest given no recent disciplinary concerns and his focus on attacking rather than defensive play.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if Raphinha is shown at least one yellow card by the referee during regulation time or stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs) of the LaLiga match FC Barcelona vs Real Madrid, played strictly after 2026-10-24T14:44:49.453Z and with the final result confirmed at or before 2026-10-26T04:00:00.000Z. - "No": Wins if Raphinha receives no yellow card during regulation time or stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs) of that same match, or if Raphinha does not appear on the pitch during those periods, with the final result confirmed at or before 2026-10-26T04:00:00.000Z. Clarifications: - A yellow card shown during extra time or a penalty shoot-out does not count; only cards issued during the 90 minutes plus any referee-added stoppage time at the end of each half are considered. - If the match is postponed, cancelled, or not completed such that no official result is recorded within the settlement window, neither condition above is met.
Oct 25, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC