Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl LXI on Feb 14, 2027?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yesyour pick11.5%$0.12
- No88.5%$0.89
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Forecast reasoning
Buffalo Bills are 4-1 early in the 2026 season with a 94% playoff probability and 21% AFC Championship odds, positioning them as contenders, but prediction markets price them at 11-12% to win Super Bowl LXI, below some analytical models that estimate 18% probability. The market reflects the difficulty of winning three consecutive playoff games against elite competition over the next 123 days.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if the Buffalo Bills are declared the official winner of Super Bowl LXI — the NFL championship game played on February 14, 2027 at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California — with the game's final result confirmed strictly after 2026-10-05T21:09:09.698Z and at or before 2027-02-16T23:30:00.000Z. - "No": Wins if the Buffalo Bills are not declared the official winner of Super Bowl LXI within the same window (i.e., another team wins, or the game's result is not confirmed by Feb 16, 2027, 23:30 UTC).
Feb 14, 2027, 11:30 PM UTC