Will Mbappé provide an assist in FC Barcelona vs Real Madrid on Oct 25, 2026 (regular time + stoppage time only)?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yes, at least one assist15.5%$0.16
- No assist84.5%$0.85
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Forecast reasoning
Mbappé is expected to start for Real Madrid after recovering from a knee injury and recently provided an assist against Leipzig, but his assist rate over his last 20 games is just 15%, making a single-game outcome unlikely despite the high-profile matchup.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes, at least one assist": Wins if Kylian Mbappé is officially recorded with at least one assist in the FC Barcelona vs Real Madrid LaLiga matchday 10 match on October 25, 2026, where the assist was recorded during regular time or stoppage time only (excluding extra time or penalty shootout), with the assist occurring strictly after 2026-10-24T14:53:50.876Z and the match concluding at or before 2026-10-26T04:00:00.000Z. - "No assist": Wins if Kylian Mbappé is officially recorded with zero assists in the same match under the same time scope, or if Mbappé did not participate in the match (e.g., did not come on as a substitute). Clarifications: - An "assist" is defined as the official last touch credited to a player directly preceding a goal, as recorded in the official LaLiga match statistics for this fixture. Only assists from regular time and stoppage time count; any contribution in extra time or a penalty shootout is excluded. - If the match is postponed and does not conclude at or before 2026-10-26T04:00:00.000Z, neither outcome is determined by this market's settlement window.
Oct 25, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC