“Will Avengers: Doomsday's first 7-day worldwide box office, as reported by Box Office Mojo, exceed Avengers: Endgame's (~$1.2B)?” on Delphi

Will Avengers: Doomsday's first 7-day worldwide box office, as reported by Box Office Mojo, exceed Avengers: Endgame's (~$1.2B)?

FinanceForecast onlyLive data

Delphi’s forecast

Yes1.6%$0.02
No98.5%$0.98

Forecast only. Not tradable.

The forecaster strongly favors one outcome, so we can’t open a market for this question. You can still create this market yourself.

Forecast reasoning

Avengers: Doomsday hasn't released yet, but tracking suggests a $260–$1B opening weekend versus Endgame's $1.224B 7-day total—a much higher bar than the 3-day comparison. Even optimistic $1B weekend projections fall short when extended to 7 days, and presales ($125M worldwide as of September) trail historical patterns needed to clear $1.2B in a week.