Will a streaming show win the Emmy for Outstanding Drama Series at the next Primetime Emmy Awards (79th)?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yesyour pick3.3%$0.03
- No96.8%$0.97
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Forecast reasoning
Streaming shows have won Outstanding Drama at every recent Emmy ceremony and dominate the 79th cycle's predicted nominees, but HBO Max's "The Pitt" is the overwhelming favorite to repeat, making a different streaming winner unlikely despite the category's depth.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if the winner of the Outstanding Drama Series award at the 79th Primetime Emmy Awards, announced strictly after 2026-10-19T19:43:11.415Z and at or before 2027-09-01T15:00:00Z, is a show whose episodes are primarily distributed via a subscription, ad-supported, or transactional streaming platform (e.g., Netflix, Hulu, Amazon Prime Video, Apple TV+, Max, Disney+, Peacock, Paramount+) rather than first-run broadcast or cable television. - "No": Wins if the winner of the Outstanding Drama Series award at the 79th Primetime Emmy Awards, announced strictly after 2026-10-19T19:43:11.415Z and at or before 2027-09-01T15:00:00Z, is a show whose episodes are primarily distributed via broadcast network or cable/pay-TV channel rather than a streaming platform. Clarifications: - "Streaming show" means a series whose new episodes are made available to audiences primarily through an internet-based streaming service; a show that simultaneously or subsequently airs on a traditional broadcast or cable network counts as a streaming show only if the streaming platform is its primary and original distribution window. - The 79th Primetime Emmy Awards are expected to be held in September 2027; if the ceremony and winner announcement occur after 2027-09-01T15:00:00Z, neither outcome's condition is satisfied within the window.
Sep 1, 2027, 7:00 AM UTC