Will Amherst, MA have snow before November 2026?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yesyour pick5.3%$0.05
- No94.8%$0.95
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Forecast reasoning
October 2026 forecasts show only rain and sunny conditions with no snow predicted before November 1, with the earliest historical snow in Amherst occurring October 23. The long-range forecast predicts snow doesn't arrive until November 1-7, and central/southern New England typically sees first flakes in November rather than October.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if any measurable snowfall (≥ 0.1 inches) is recorded in Amherst, MA strictly after 2026-09-30T16:34:39.224Z UTC and at or before 2026-11-01T04:00:00.000Z UTC. - "No": Wins if no measurable snowfall (≥ 0.1 inches) is recorded in Amherst, MA during that same window. Clarifications: - "Measurable snowfall" means ≥ 0.1 inches of snow recorded at an official or widely recognized weather station serving Amherst, MA (e.g., a NOAA Cooperative Observer, NWS observation, or a personal weather station on Weather Underground) during the window defined above. A trace amount (< 0.1 inches) does not satisfy the "Yes" condition.
Nov 1, 2026, 4:00 AM UTC
