Will Germany win Euro 2028?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yesyour pick9.5%$0.10
- No90.5%$0.91
This resolves too far out for us to open a market on it. The odds stand. You can still create this market yourself.
Forecast reasoning
Germany's 10% probability reflects recent betting market consensus, with multiple sources from September-October 2026 pricing them at 8/1 to 11/1 odds. New manager Jürgen Klopp's appointment in September 2026 and mixed UEFA Nations League form through October have kept them ranked fifth among favorites, behind Spain and France.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if Germany is officially confirmed as the UEFA Euro 2028 champion — i.e., Germany wins the Euro 2028 final match — with the final taking place strictly after 2026-10-01T11:07:01.265Z and at or before 2028-07-09T23:59:00.000Z. - "No": Wins if, within the same window, the UEFA Euro 2028 tournament concludes and Germany is not confirmed as the champion, or if Germany does not participate in or is eliminated before the final. Clarifications: - The settlement window covers events occurring strictly after 2026-10-01T11:07:01.265Z and at or before 2028-07-09T23:59:00.000Z. The Euro 2028 final is scheduled for 9 July 2028; the officially declared winner of that match is the Euro 2028 champion for the purpose of this market.
Jul 9, 2028, 4:00 PM UTC