Will an American win the 2027 Masters Tournament (Apr 8–11, 2027)?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yesyour pick52.0%$0.52
- No48.0%$0.48
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Forecast reasoning
Americans have won 73% of Masters titles historically and claimed the last seven major championships, with Scottie Scheffler (18% favorite) and four other Americans representing 28% of current market probability. The 52% forecast reflects that American dominance must overcome the field's depth, with 165 days until the April 8 tournament start allowing odds to shift substantially.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if the official champion of the 2027 Masters Tournament, concluded strictly after 2026-10-24T16:27:52.492Z and with the winner declared by the end of the tournament's final round on April 11, 2027, holds United States of America nationality as listed in the official tournament results. - "No": Wins if the official champion of the 2027 Masters Tournament, concluded strictly after 2026-10-24T16:27:52.492Z and with the winner declared by the end of the tournament's final round on April 11, 2027, does not hold United States of America nationality as listed in the official tournament results. Clarifications: - "American" means the champion holds United States of America nationality at the time of the tournament, as reflected in the official Masters Tournament or PGA Tour player records. Dual nationals holding U.S. nationality qualify. - If the tournament is cancelled or concludes without an official champion declared by April 11, 2027, neither outcome wins on this criterion.
Apr 8, 2027, 4:00 AM UTC
