Will Toronto FC qualify for the 2026 MLS Cup Playoffs?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yes43.8%$0.44
- No56.3%$0.56
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Forecast reasoning
Toronto FC sits in 10th place, 2 positions below the playoff cutoff with 19 days remaining in the regular season, but recent form has been strong—they've earned 7 of 9 points in the past week and are now tied for the final playoff spots after defeating New York Red Bulls 2-0. With multiple games still to play and competitors like FC Cincinnati holding games in hand, Toronto's path to the playoffs remains competitive but uncertain.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if Toronto FC is officially listed among the qualified clubs for the 2026 MLS Cup Playoffs — as a seed 1–7 automatic qualifier or as a seed 8 or 9 Wild Card participant — based on the final Eastern Conference standings published by MLS after the conclusion of the 2026 MLS regular season (Decision Day), strictly after 2026-10-19T03:48:16.963Z and at or before 2026-11-08T05:00:00.000Z. - "No": Wins if Toronto FC is not among the top nine clubs in the final 2026 MLS Eastern Conference standings and is therefore not qualified for the 2026 MLS Cup Playoffs, with standings confirmed strictly after 2026-10-19T03:48:16.963Z and at or before 2026-11-08T05:00:00.000Z. Clarifications: - Qualification means finishing in the top nine of the Eastern Conference by total points (or points per game if one or more matches are cancelled) at the end of the 2026 MLS regular season, per the official 2026 MLS Competition Guidelines. Seeds 1–7 qualify directly; seeds 8–9 qualify for the Wild Card match and are still considered playoff qualifiers regardless of the Wild Card result.
Nov 7, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC