Will the Swiss popular initiative "Ja zu fairen Bundessteuern auch für Ehepaare" be accepted by both the people and cantons in the federal vote of Nov 29, 2026, per Federal Chancellery results?
PoliticsForecast onlyLive data
Delphi’s forecast
- Yesyour pick30.5%$0.31
- No69.5%$0.69
Forecast only. Not tradable.
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Forecast reasoning
October polling showed 55% support with 11% undecided, but the initiative requires both popular and cantonal majorities—Parliament rejected it 102-97 and the Cantonal Council 24-20, both narrow margins suggesting the cantonal threshold poses a significant hurdle despite apparent popular support.