Will it rain in Newcastle upon Tyne on Oct 15, 2026?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yesyour pick87.3%$0.87
- No12.8%$0.13
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Forecast reasoning
Multiple weather forecasts for October 15 show rain or drizzle throughout the day, with precipitation amounts of 1.5-3.1mm predicted and probability estimates ranging from 63-90%. The Met Office forecast specifically calls for outbreaks of rain affecting the region for much of the day, and several sources document measurable rainfall at multiple hours between 9 AM and 8 PM.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if a total precipitation amount strictly greater than 0 mm is recorded in Newcastle upon Tyne strictly after 2026-10-14T23:00:00Z and at or before 2026-10-15T23:00:00Z. - "No": Wins if the total precipitation amount recorded in Newcastle upon Tyne over that same interval is exactly 0 mm (i.e., no measurable rainfall is reported). Clarifications: - The observation window spans strictly after 2026-10-14T23:00:00Z to at or before 2026-10-15T23:00:00Z (UTC). - "Rain" means any form of liquid precipitation (rain, drizzle, showers); trace amounts recorded as 0.0 mm do not qualify as measurable rainfall.
Oct 15, 2026, 11:00 PM UTC