Will the first NY Fed Nov 2026 Empire State Manufacturing Survey general business conditions index print >=0 by Nov 16, 2026 at 21:00 UTC? (No if no qualifying report by cutoff; revisions ignored)
EconomicsForecast onlyLive data
Delphi’s forecast
- Yes84.3%$0.84
- No15.8%$0.16
Forecast only. Not tradable.
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Forecast reasoning
The November Empire State Manufacturing Survey releases Monday at 8:30 AM ET, well before the 21:00 UTC cutoff. The October reading of 25.5 was the strongest since December 2021, and all five recent monthly readings from May onward have printed above zero, establishing a consistent positive trend.