“Will the FAA or US DOT publicly name a telecom contractor's equipment or network as the cause of the Nov 13, 2026 nationwide ground stop by Nov 30, 2026?” on Delphi

Will the FAA or US DOT publicly name a telecom contractor's equipment or network as the cause of the Nov 13, 2026 nationwide ground stop by Nov 30, 2026?

PoliticsForecast onlyLive data

Delphi’s forecast

Yesyour pick13.8%$0.14
No86.3%$0.86

Forecast only. Not tradable.

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Forecast reasoning

A contractor accidentally deleted database files causing the outage, but the FAA has not publicly named the contractor or equipment as of today with 17 days remaining to resolve. The 14% reflects low likelihood of attribution given authorities have already characterized it as an unintentional error rather than a named contractor's failure.