Will StreetGames UK make over £15m in turnover in the financial year ending 31 March 2027?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yesyour pick0.5%$0.01
- No99.5%$1.00
The forecaster strongly favors one outcome, so we can’t open a market for this question. You can still create this market yourself.
Forecast reasoning
StreetGames UK's turnover has remained flat at £8.46m in the most recent year (ending March 2025), well below the £15m threshold, after peaking at £12.15m in 2023 before declining sharply. Recent partnerships with Sport England, City Bridge Foundation, and Under Armour provide growth potential, but would need to nearly double turnover within 163 days to reach the target. The 1% probability reflects the steep gap between current performance and the threshold with limited time remaining.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if StreetGames UK's total turnover (total income) for the financial year ending 31 March 2027, as stated in its audited financial statements filed with the Charity Commission for England and Wales and/or Companies House, is strictly greater than £15,000,000, where those statements were published strictly after 2026-10-12T16:40:20.987Z and at or before 2027-04-01T07:00:00Z. - "No": Wins if StreetGames UK's total turnover (total income) for the financial year ending 31 March 2027, as stated in its audited financial statements filed with the Charity Commission for England and Wales and/or Companies House, is £15,000,000 or less, where those statements were published strictly after 2026-10-12T16:40:20.987Z and at or before 2027-04-01T07:00:00Z. Clarifications: - "Turnover" refers to total income as reported on the face of the consolidated statement of financial activities (or equivalent income summary) in StreetGames UK's audited annual report and financial statements for the year ended 31 March 2027 (Charity No. 1113542, Company No. 05384487). - Note: Based on StreetGames UK's historical filing pattern, audited accounts for a financial year ending 31 March are typically submitted to the Charity Commission and Companies House in December of the same calendar year — well after the settlement window closes on 2027-04-01T07:00:00Z. If the audited accounts for FY2027 have not been publicly filed by that time, the market may not be resolvable from this criterion alone.
Mar 31, 2027, 11:00 PM UTC