Will Mbappé score at least one goal in the El Clásico (Barcelona vs. Real Madrid) on Oct 25, 2026?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yes51.5%$0.52
- No48.5%$0.49
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Forecast reasoning
Mbappé averages 1.2 goals per match against Barcelona in La Liga and scored in his most recent Clásico, but Real Madrid will be without suspended star Vinícius Junior, forcing Mbappé to carry more offensive load. He's confirmed fit after recovering from a late-September knee injury and scored in a 4-1 Champions League win just days before this match.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if Kylian Mbappé is officially recorded as scoring at least one goal (including any goal credited after review) in the LaLiga Matchday 10 fixture Barcelona vs. Real Madrid played at Spotify Camp Nou, with the match having kicked off strictly after 2026-10-24T10:04:47.837Z and concluded at or before 2026-10-26T04:00:00Z. - "No": Wins if the match concluded within the same window and Mbappé was not officially recorded as scoring any goal, or if Mbappé did not participate (e.g., absent, suspended, or did not feature) and no goal is attributed to him. Clarifications: - A goal counts regardless of whether it was scored in regular time, stoppage time, or extra time (if applicable), but own goals are not attributed to the scorer and do not count toward Mbappé's tally. - If the match is postponed, abandoned, or cancelled and does not conclude at or before 2026-10-26T04:00:00Z, neither outcome's condition is met within the window.
Oct 25, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC