“Will the Fed's first G.17 release (by Nov 17, 2026 at 22:00 UTC) report Oct 2026 total industrial production up ≥0.5% MoM, seasonally adjusted?” on Delphi

Will the Fed's first G.17 release (by Nov 17, 2026 at 22:00 UTC) report Oct 2026 total industrial production up ≥0.5% MoM, seasonally adjusted?

EconomicsForecast onlyLive data

Delphi’s forecast

Yes, ≥0.5% MoM increase25.5%$0.26
No, below 0.5% MoM increase74.5%$0.75

Forecast only. Not tradable.

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Forecast reasoning

September 2026 industrial production rose 0.7% MoM, exceeding the 0.5% threshold, but October data has not yet been released and no forecasts or advance estimates are publicly available as of November 12. The 26% probability reflects a below-base-rate assessment given recent momentum, suggesting market skepticism about sustaining growth above 0.5% in the following month.