Abdusattorov is the defending champion and top seed heading a 10-player field, having won last year with 7½/9 points and a dominant six-game winning streak. The tournament runs November 24–December 7, 2026, with no results yet available as of today. The 10% probability reflects that while he's the favorite, back-to-back titles are rare—only Magnus Carlsen achieved this since 2010.