Will Manchester United beat Atlético Madrid on Oct 13, 2026?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yes25.5%$0.26
- No74.5%$0.75
This settles too soon to open a market on, so there is nothing to take the other side of. The odds stand.
Forecast reasoning
Atlético Madrid are heavy favorites in this Champions League match at home, with Opta's supercomputer giving them 48.5% win probability versus Manchester United's 27.2%. Manchester United arrive depleted by nine injuries including key defenders, while Atlético have won their last two league matches and remain undefeated in four career meetings against United.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if Manchester United's official final score is strictly greater than Atlético Madrid's official final score in the UEFA Champions League match played at Riyadh Air Metropolitano on 2026-10-13, with the result confirmed strictly after 2026-10-13T17:20:42.062Z and at or before 2026-10-14T02:00:00.000Z. - "No": Wins if Manchester United's official final score is equal to or less than Atlético Madrid's official final score in that same match, confirmed within the same window. Clarifications: - "Final score" refers to the result at the end of 90 minutes plus any added time (i.e. the regulation-time result); extra time or penalty shootouts are not applicable in the UEFA Champions League league phase and should not be considered. - If the match is postponed, abandoned, or not completed within the settlement window, neither outcome is satisfied by this prompt.
Oct 13, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC