Will Bitcoin exceed $100,000 by Christmas, Dec 25, 2026?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yesyour pick20.5%$0.21
- No79.5%$0.80
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Forecast reasoning
Bitcoin closed at ~$81,300 on Oct 18, 2026, requiring a $18,700 rally in 68 days to reach $100,000. While Bitcoin exceeded $126,000 in October 2025 and recovered 43% during Q3 2026, it has declined ~$38,000 year-over-year and faces downward momentum this month, though some analysts project $125,000 by year-end.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if the BTC-USD spot price on Coinbase trades strictly above $100,000 at any point strictly after 2026-09-29T22:04:38.515Z and at or before 2026-12-25T05:00:00.000Z. - "No": Wins if the BTC-USD spot price on Coinbase does not trade strictly above $100,000 at any point during the same interval. Clarifications: - The observation window opens strictly after 2026-09-29T22:04:38.515Z and closes at or before 2026-12-25T05:00:00.000Z. "Exceeds $100,000" means a confirmed trade or last price strictly greater than $100,000.00 USD.
Dec 25, 2026, 5:00 AM UTC