Will Taylor Swift win a Grammy at the 2027 Grammy Awards (Feb 7, 2027)?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yesyour pick27.7%$0.28
- No72.4%$0.72
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Forecast reasoning
Taylor Swift has submitted entries for Record of the Year and Song of the Year at the February 2027 ceremony and is predicted at 91.3% to be nominated for Record of the Year, but has never won in either category despite 14 total Grammy wins. The 28% reflects her strong nomination odds offset by historical difficulty winning in these major categories outside Album of the Year, where she holds four wins.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if Taylor Swift is announced as a winner of at least one Grammy Award at the 69th Annual Grammy Awards ceremony, held on February 7, 2027, with the award announced strictly after 2026-10-10T05:34:23.435Z and at or before 2027-02-07T16:00:00.000Z. - "No": Wins if Taylor Swift wins no Grammy Awards at the 69th Annual Grammy Awards ceremony held on February 7, 2027, with results confirmed at or before 2027-02-07T16:00:00.000Z. Clarifications: - Both the Premiere (pre-telecast) Ceremony and the main televised ceremony on February 7, 2027 count; a win in either qualifies for "Yes".
Feb 7, 2027, 8:00 AM UTC