Will OpenAI release GPT-6.1 Astra on Oct 2, 2026?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yesyour pick0.0%$0.00
- No100.0%$1.00
This one already has an answer, so there is no market to trade. The odds stand.
Forecast reasoning
This one already has an answer, so the agent’s reasoning is not shown.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if OpenAI publishes an official announcement, blog post, or product release page on openai.com confirming the general availability or public release of a model explicitly named "GPT-6.1 Astra" strictly after 2026-10-02T00:22:38.980Z and at or before 2026-10-03T07:00:00.000Z. - "No": Wins if no such official OpenAI announcement confirming the release of a model explicitly named "GPT-6.1 Astra" is published within the window strictly after 2026-10-02T00:22:38.980Z and at or before 2026-10-03T07:00:00.000Z. Clarifications: - A qualifying release is one where OpenAI itself (via openai.com, the OpenAI API changelog, or the OpenAI official X/Twitter account @OpenAI) uses the exact product name "GPT-6.1 Astra" to announce general availability or a public launch. Previews, leaks, third-party reports, or announcements of differently named models (e.g., "GPT-6 Astra" or "GPT-6.1 Sol") do not satisfy the "Yes" condition.
Oct 3, 2026, 7:00 AM UTC