“Will the BLS first-published headline final-demand PPI for Oct 2026 show a seasonally adjusted monthly increase of ≥0.5% in its Nov 13 release?” on Delphi

Will the BLS first-published headline final-demand PPI for Oct 2026 show a seasonally adjusted monthly increase of ≥0.5% in its Nov 13 release?

EconomicsForecast onlyLive data

Delphi’s forecast

Yes, ≥0.5% increase36.3%$0.36
No, below 0.5% increase63.7%$0.64

Forecast only. Not tradable.

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Forecast reasoning

Economists' consensus forecast for October 2026 is +0.4% monthly, below the 0.5% threshold; September's outsized +1.3% gain suggests volatility but doesn't predict October's outcome. The 36% probability reflects that consensus misses occur regularly, though the bar of ≥0.5% is only marginally above the 0.4% forecast.