Company guidance of $1.75-$1.83 and analyst consensus of $1.82-$1.86 for Q3 FY2026 all fall well short of the $2.00 threshold, making a beat of 14-18 cents unlikely. Recent quarters show beats averaging 9-33 cents, but even the optimistic scenario of matching Q2's 29-cent beat would only reach $2.15, requiring near-perfect execution against already-raised guidance.