Will Djokovic win Wimbledon 2027?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yesyour pick6.1%$0.06
- No93.9%$0.94
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Forecast reasoning
Djokovic is 39 and ranked No. 8 after a semifinal exit at Wimbledon 2026, with recent shoulder and back injuries limiting him to eight tournaments through October. Markets price him third among contenders behind Sinner and Alcaraz, reflecting reduced fitness and tournament participation heading into the 260-day window to Wimbledon 2027.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if Novak Djokovic is officially declared the Gentlemen's Singles champion of the 2027 Wimbledon Championships, with the final played strictly after 2026-10-23T19:35:02.512Z and the result confirmed at or before 2027-07-11T07:00:00.000Z. - "No": Wins if the 2027 Wimbledon Gentlemen's Singles title is awarded to any player other than Novak Djokovic, or if Djokovic does not compete in or complete the tournament, with the outcome confirmed strictly after 2026-10-23T19:35:02.512Z and at or before 2027-07-11T07:00:00.000Z. Clarifications: - "Officially declared the Gentlemen's Singles champion" means the All England Club or the official Wimbledon Championships communications confirm the winner of the Men's Singles Final of the 2027 Wimbledon Championships. A walkover, retirement, or disqualification that results in Djokovic being awarded the title counts as a win for "Yes"; any such outcome that prevents Djokovic from winning the title counts as a win for "No".
Jul 10, 2027, 11:00 PM UTC