Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 World Drivers' Championship?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yes94.0%$0.94
- No6.0%$0.06
We could not pin down how this would settle, so there is no market to trade. The odds stand.
Forecast reasoning
Antonelli leads the championship with a 102-point advantage over second place with 6 rounds remaining, putting him on the verge of clinching the title before the market closes in 49 days.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if Kimi Antonelli is officially confirmed as the 2026 FIA Formula 1 World Drivers' Champion — i.e., he holds first place in the final official 2026 Drivers' Championship standings after all races and any post-race adjudications are complete, with the result occurring strictly after 2026-10-08T10:50:44.377Z and at or before 2026-12-05T20:00:00.000Z. - "No": Wins if, at or before 2026-12-05T20:00:00.000Z, the 2026 FIA Formula 1 World Drivers' Championship has been officially confirmed and Kimi Antonelli is not the champion, or the championship has not yet been officially confirmed by that time. Clarifications: - "Officially confirmed" means the FIA or Formula 1 has declared the 2026 World Drivers' Champion, whether mid-season (mathematically secured) or at the conclusion of the final round, as reflected in the official Drivers' Championship standings. - If Antonelli mathematically secures the title before the final race but the formal declaration occurs after 2026-12-05T20:00:00.000Z, "Yes" does not win.
Dec 5, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC