Will the UK Met Office name a storm before Nov 15, 2026?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yesyour pick73.5%$0.74
- No26.5%$0.27
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Forecast reasoning
The estimate rests on 10 recent sources, weighed against the base rate for events of this kind inside the market's window.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if the Met Office (in partnership with Met Éireann and/or KNMI) officially names at least one storm strictly after 2026-09-30T16:56:17.665Z and at or before 2026-11-15T00:00:00.000Z, as confirmed by an announcement on the Met Office UK Storm Centre or official Met Office communications channels. - "No": Wins if no storm is officially named by the Met Office (in partnership with Met Éireann and/or KNMI) within the window strictly after 2026-09-30T16:56:17.665Z and at or before 2026-11-15T00:00:00.000Z. Clarifications: - Only storms named under the Western European storm-naming scheme (Met Office / Met Éireann / KNMI joint list) count; storms named solely by other European naming groups (e.g. the southwest European group) do not qualify.
Nov 15, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC