Will the Golden State Warriors miss the 2026-27 NBA playoffs?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yesyour pick31.0%$0.31
- No69.0%$0.69
This resolves too far out for us to open a market on it. The odds stand. You can still create this market yourself.
Forecast reasoning
Warriors are 2-2 through early October after finishing 37-45 last season and losing in the play-in tournament, but project to improve 6 games with restored health for Curry, a mid-season return for Butler, and a full season of Porzingis together for the first time.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if the Golden State Warriors finish the 2026-27 NBA regular season ranked 11th or lower in the Western Conference — failing to secure a top-10 seed — and therefore do not qualify for either the NBA Playoffs or the NBA Play-In Tournament, with their final regular-season standing determined strictly after 2026-09-30T16:18:29.524Z and at or before the market's close on 2027-04-12T07:00:00.000Z. - "No": Wins if the Golden State Warriors finish the 2026-27 NBA regular season ranked 10th or higher in the Western Conference — securing at minimum a Play-In Tournament berth — with their final regular-season standing determined strictly after 2026-09-30T16:18:29.524Z and at or before the market's close on 2027-04-12T07:00:00.000Z. Clarifications: - "Miss the playoffs" is interpreted as failing to qualify for either the NBA Playoffs (seeds 1–6) or the NBA Play-In Tournament (seeds 7–10); a Warriors team that earns a Play-In spot resolves "No" regardless of whether they subsequently advance through the Play-In to the full Playoffs. - The relevant standing is the Warriors' final Western Conference regular-season seed at the conclusion of the 2026-27 NBA regular season.
Apr 12, 2027, 7:00 AM UTC