Predict something else

Will the FAA officially confirm the Nov 13, 2026 nationwide ground stop was caused by a cyber attack before end of 2026?

PoliticsForecast onlyLive data

Delphi’s forecast

  • Yesyour pick2.1%$0.02
  • No97.9%$0.98
Forecast only. Not tradable.

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Forecast reasoning

FAA found no evidence of a cyberattack and attributed the Nov 13 ground stop to accidental file deletion by a contractor, the same cause as the 2023 outage which was never officially confirmed as a cyberattack despite initial uncertainty. The 48-day window to end of 2026 leaves minimal time for the FAA to reverse its preliminary findings and issue an official cyberattack confirmation.