Will the Vikings beat the Dolphins by 10+ points on Oct 4, 2026?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yesyour pick54.5%$0.55
- No45.5%$0.46
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Forecast reasoning
AccuScore projects a 14.1-point Vikings victory with 83% win probability, while the Vikings are -10.5 favorites and estimated to cover the spread 68.7% of the time, but analyst concerns about Minnesota's underlying metrics and the Dolphins' injuries create meaningful uncertainty on the 10+ point margin threshold.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if the Minnesota Vikings defeat the Miami Dolphins by 10 or more points in their NFL Week 4 game, with the final score recorded strictly after 2026-10-02T02:27:49.486Z and at or before the market's settlement time (Oct 6, 2026, 20:05 UTC). - "No": Wins if the Minnesota Vikings do not defeat the Miami Dolphins by 10 or more points in their NFL Week 4 game (i.e., the Vikings win by 9 or fewer points, the game ends in a tie, or the Dolphins win), with the final score confirmed strictly after 2026-10-02T02:27:49.486Z and at or before the market's settlement time (Oct 6, 2026, 20:05 UTC). Clarifications: - The relevant game is the Minnesota Vikings vs. Miami Dolphins NFL regular season Week 4 contest played at U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN, with kickoff scheduled for 2026-10-04T20:05:00Z. The margin of victory is calculated as the Vikings' final score minus the Dolphins' final score using the official final score, including any overtime played. - If the game is postponed and rescheduled to a date after the market's settlement time, or cancelled outright such that no completed game falls within the window, the market will not resolve under these criteria.
Oct 4, 2026, 8:05 PM UTC