Gambia's electoral law requires the IEC to declare a winner within 72 hours of the December 5 election, and historical precedent shows results announced within 24-48 hours, making the December 8 12:00 UTC deadline easily achievable. Adama Barrow is priced as the frontrunner at 68-78.5% to win the election itself, and the declaration timeline adds minimal additional risk beyond his candidacy odds.