Will Lamine Yamal score in FC Barcelona vs Real Madrid on Oct 25, 2026 (regular time + stoppage time only)?
Delphi’s forecast
- Yes43.8%$0.44
- No56.3%$0.56
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Forecast reasoning
Yamal has scored in 56% of his 2026-27 games and 54% of home matches, with 9 goals in 11 recent matches across competitions, but Real Madrid allows just 1 goal per match this season. He's confirmed fit and starting despite a hamstring scare on October 13, facing a defensively strong opponent in a single-match scenario where prior head-to-head data is unavailable.
Settlement
Resolution criteria: - "Yes": Wins if Lamine Yamal is officially credited with at least one goal for FC Barcelona in the LaLiga matchday 10 fixture between FC Barcelona and Real Madrid at Spotify Camp Nou, played strictly after 2026-10-24T14:59:22.575Z and with a final whistle at or before 2026-10-26T04:00:00Z, counting only goals scored during regular time (45+45 minutes) and any added stoppage time at the end of each half — penalty shootout goals excluded. - "No": Wins if the match concludes within the same window and Lamine Yamal is not officially credited with any such goal, or if he did not participate in the match. Clarifications: - A goal is credited to Lamine Yamal if he is the last Barcelona player to touch the ball before it crosses the goal line, including deflections off an opponent; own goals scored by Real Madrid players do not count toward his tally. - If the match is postponed, abandoned before full time, or does not reach a final whistle at or before 2026-10-26T04:00:00Z, neither outcome wins on that basis alone — the result must be an official completed match scoreline recognised by LaLiga.
Oct 25, 2026, 8:00 PM UTC
